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The aggregate delta decay across all options in a dealer hedging book. Creates flows as dealers adjust hedges to match changing deltas near expiration.
⚡ KEY TAKEAWAY: Charm flows are most visible near expiration. Explains otherwise puzzling end-of-day drift in index stocks.

Charm exposure is the aggregate delta decay across all options in dealer books. Near expiration, deltas shift as options approach expiry — creating systematic flows as dealers re-hedge. These charm flows explain otherwise puzzling end-of-day drift, especially on monthly expirations.
Sum the charm (∂Δ/∂t) across all dealer-held options at each strike. As time passes, OTM option deltas decay toward zero — dealers who hedged those deltas must unwind. If dealers were short OTM puts and hedged by selling stock, charm unwind means they BUY stock back — creating upward pressure.
Wednesday before monthly expiration. Dealers are short 50,000 SPY OTM puts with aggregate charm of +800 delta per day. Over the last 3 days, those put deltas fade toward zero — dealers unwind $800 × $580 × 3 = ~$1.4M of stock hedges. This buying pressure drifts SPY upward into expiration.
Expecting charm flows to dominate in all environments. Charm flows are visible in calm markets near expiration. During high-vol events (earnings, Fed), directional moves overwhelm charm effects. Charm is a calm-market phenomenon.
The aggregate delta decay across all options in a dealer hedging book. Creates flows as dealers adjust hedges to match changing deltas near expiration.
Charm flows are most visible near expiration. Explains otherwise puzzling end-of-day drift in index stocks.
Sum the charm (∂Δ/∂t) across all dealer-held options at each strike. As time passes, OTM option deltas decay toward zero — dealers who hedged those deltas must unwind. If dealers were short OTM puts and hedged by selling stock, charm unwind means they BUY stock back — creating upward pressure.
Expecting charm flows to dominate in all environments. Charm flows are visible in calm markets near expiration. During high-vol events (earnings, Fed), directional moves overwhelm charm effects. Charm is a calm-market phenomenon.