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By VolRadar · Wednesday, March 4, 2026 · Updated after market close
VIX spiked 18% to 21. 1 overnight, pushing us into a moderately elevated regime (31/100) that's worth monitoring but not alarming for premium sellers. The term structure remains constructively steep at 0.
949 with solid contango, giving you decent extrinsic decay to work with across most strikes. However, VRP breadth is split evenly at 50%, signaling uneven volatility opportunities rather than a broad gift-giving environment. SPY shows an aggressive RV ratio of just 0.
03—implying realized vol is running well below implied—making it your highest-conviction short volatility candidate, while VZ at 0. 09 offers similar setup with less headline risk. Stay selective rather than blanket selling; focus your shorts on the tight RV/IV dislocations like SPY while using the still-healthy term structure to define your wings and collect on weaker names where breadth hasn't caught up.
Conditions favor premium selling
Look for tickers with RV ratio < 0.85 and strong confidence signals
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