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By VolRadar · Wednesday, March 11, 2026 · Updated after market close
VIX spiked 27. 5% to 23. 8 overnight, but the underlying volatility regime remains constructive for premium sellers with 80% VRP breadth across the S&P 500 and a modest neutral weather score of 61.
4. The term structure sits at 0. 995 in contango, offering reasonable decay for short premium strategies, though the breadth signal hasn't extended far enough to suggest explosive theta expansion.
With the VIX Regime at 0 and RV Trend at 80, we're seeing realized volatility strength that could pressure short vega positions, so tighter width spreads on your iron condors and credit spreads make more sense than outright naked shorts today. Focus your selling on sectors showing elevated implied relative to realized, particularly where the spike feels overdone. Stay selective with position sizing and lean toward defined-risk structures until we see the VRP breadth push closer to 90+ confirmation.
Mixed conditions — be selective
Stick to high-conviction tickers only — quality over quantity
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