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By VolRadar · Thursday, March 26, 2026 · Updated after market close
• VIX spiked 14% to 27. 4 overnight, but the term structure is still slightly inverted (1. 010)—meaning front-month premium isn't running away. This is a seller's sweet spot: volatility is elevated enough to collect decent decay, but not panicked enough to collapse your spreads. • VRP breadth is excellent at 83%—that means most of the market is offering you an edge.
Top picks are LW (+13. 8pp), FMC (+15. 1pp), and CHTR (+12. 5pp), where implied vol sits 12-15 points above what the stock is actually moving. These are rich enough to sell puts or call spreads with real edge.
• All three heavy hitters (LW, FMC, CHTR) have RV ratios under 0. 80, meaning realized vol is running well below what options are priced for. The market expects bigger moves than it's actually getting—exactly what you want when selling premium. • Sell selectively into strength today: LW, FMC, and CHTR offer the cleanest risk/reward for puts or spreads. Skip the crowded broad-market plays and stick to names where IV clearly overestimates real volatility.
Mixed conditions — be selective
Stick to high-conviction tickers only — quality over quantity
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