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Marathon Petroleum — Find the best options trade for MPC right now
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a Energy stock with actively traded listed options. Short Strangle still ranks highest among 3 scored strategies, but conditions offer limited edge with VRP at +1.4pp. IV Rank 43% is near the Energy sector median of 41%. Review each strategy's P/L profile before sizing. See IV Analysis for volatility depth.
Each strategy scored against MPC’s current IV, VRP, and risk profile. Top pick: Short Strangle.
| Rank | Strategy | Risk Type | Setup | Why | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Short Strangle Credit $895·MaxP $780·MaxL Unlimited·RoC 14.4% | Undefined Risk | Sell $220.0P / Sell $270.0C · 2026-05-15 · 40 DTE 40 DTE | ~$7.80 (bid) to $8.95 (mid) | Apply ↓ |
Build and compare options strategies with pre-filled strikes and DTE targets. See estimated profit, max loss, and breakeven points before you trade.
Compare the top-ranked strategies, then adjust strikes to match your risk tolerance.
Ranking factors: Signal match, IV environment suitability, risk/reward ratio, probability of profitIV Rank, VRP, signal strength, strategy-specific Greeks
VolRadar strategy matching engine using ORATS data
Rankings reflect current conditions and change daily. Strategy suitability depends on your risk tolerance, capital, and market outlook. Always model the trade before entering.
• VRP +1.4pp — needs ≥1.5pp for Medium, ≥3.0pp for Strong. IV is not overpricing realized movement enough.
Signal upgrades when: VRP rises above 2pp, IV Rank climbs above 50%, and no earnings/spike blockers are present.
Earnings in 29 days. Trades with DTE >29d will span earnings. Consider shorter expirations or defined-risk strategies to limit gap risk.
Live liquidity snapshot not yet available. Rankings and signal confidence do not factor in bid-ask spreads or option volume. Verify liquidity with your broker before trading. Illiquid names may have wider spreads that erode edge.
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Based on weak signal conditions, VolRadar ranks Short Strangle as the top strategy for Marathon Petroleum. This undefined-risk strategy offers more premium but requires more capital and active position management. ~$7.80 (bid) to $8.95 (mid) For defined risk, consider Short Put.
Strategy selection depends on market conditions, risk tolerance, and capital available. VolRadar analyzes Marathon Petroleum's volatility regime, signal strength, and risk factors to rank strategies by suitability. Use the calculator to model any strategy with Marathon Petroleum's current price pre-filled — edit strikes, premiums, and see instant payoff diagrams.
Premiums are model estimates (not live bid/ask) — verify with your broker before trading. All P/L calculations exclude commissions and fees. Actual returns may differ.
Like this strategy on MPC?
The Scanner finds the best tickers for any strategy — ranked by VRP, IV Rank, and signal strength across 500+ stocks.
Weak conditions — prefer defined-risk strategies or smaller size. Top pick: Short Strangle.IVR 42.8% (average) · VRP +1.4pp (earnings-driven edge)
Probability of Profit — See modeled win probability for this setup. Unlock on Starter.
Execution Score — AI-rated trade quality based on regime, IV, and structure. Unlock on Starter.
| #2 | Short Put Credit $505·MaxP $429·MaxL Unlimited·RoC 1.9% | Undefined Risk | Sell $220.0P · 2026-05-15 · 40 DTE | ~$4.29 to $5.05 (mid) |
| #3 | Covered Call Credit $390·MaxP $351·MaxL $23,747·RoC 1.5% | ✓ Defined | Sell $270.0C · 2026-05-15 · 40 DTE | ~$3.51 to $3.90 (mid) |
~$7.80 (bid) to $8.95 (mid)
#1 optimized strategy is free. Starter — $15/mo unlocks all ranked strategies with real-chain strikes, PoP, and RoC. The calculator below uses estimated strikes for modeling.
Confidence is rule-based (not ML). Thresholds with ORATS VRP data:
Strategy ranking uses signal, regime (RV Ratio), skew, and earnings proximity. Without liquidity data, signal confidence may be overstated for illiquid names.
Based on current conditions (weak signal, RV Ratio 0.97), VolRadar ranks Short Strangle as the top strategy for Marathon Petroleum. ~$7.80 (bid) to $8.95 (mid) Alternative: Short Put for undefined risk preference.
Max profit on a credit spread equals the net credit received. For example, if you sell a MPC put for $3.00 and buy a lower put for $1.00, your max profit is $2.00 per share ($200 per contract). The breakeven equals the short strike minus net credit. Use the calculator to model exact scenarios with MPC's current price of $241.37.
In current conditions, defined-risk strategies like put spreads or iron condors are recommended for MPC as they limit downside while still capturing the available premium.
18 preset strategies are available: Short Put, Covered Call, Put Credit Spread, Bear Call Spread, Iron Condor, Short Strangle, Iron Butterfly, Broken Wing Butterfly, Calendar Spread, Short Straddle, Jade Lizard, Poor Man's Covered Call, Long Call, Long Put, Bull Call Spread, Bear Put Spread, Protective Put, and Collar. Plus a custom multi-leg builder for any combination up to 4 legs with optional share positions. Each strategy shows max profit, max loss, breakeven, and probability of profit for Marathon Petroleum's current price.
Liquidity determines whether theoretical premium translates into real returns. For Marathon Petroleum, check bid-ask spreads, open interest, and daily volume on your target strikes before entering. Wide spreads (over 10-15% of the premium) reduce your actual credit and make adjustments harder. Multi-leg strategies like iron condors are especially sensitive — each leg's spread compounds. Start with the most liquid strikes and expirations, and always use limit orders.
Return on Capital (RoC) = net credit / capital at risk. For a MPC cash-secured put at $229, RoC depends on the premium vs the full strike x 100 collateral. For spreads, RoC = credit / (spread width x 100 - credit). Higher IV environments produce better RoC. Use the calculator with MPC's current price to model exact returns.