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Current DECK options analysis: Weak Signal for Selling premium on DECK. This DECK options page updates daily with IV rank, VRP, expected move, and strategy picks.
No strategies meet current entry criteria.
Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector and has actively traded listed options. IV Rank 30% is 24pp below the Consumer Discretionary sector median of 54%. DECK put/call walls.
DECK Edge Score: 74/100 — data coverage is strong, but current trading conditions are unfavorable.
No strategies meet entry criteria. Consider waiting for better conditions.
DECK See full analysis →DECK conditions are unfavorable — but other tickers may have edge today
DECK’s setup is weak today. The Scanner surfaces S&P 500 tickers with positive VRP, high IV Rank, or active earnings crush — check those before forcing a trade on DECK.
Weak — Unfavorable for premium selling
EM = Price × RV₂₀d × √(t/252). Uses Yang-Zhang 20d realized volatility (not implied). ±1σ (68% confidence).
Conditions are weak — explore alternatives or wait for a better setup.
Strategy
Flow & Events
Planned
Volatility smile & skew shifts
IV curve across expirations
Early assignment probability & alerts
Historical expected move hit rates
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Edge Score = weighted composite of VRP, IV Rank, RV Regime, Earnings Proximity, Term Structure, and Liquidity. Ranges: Defensive (0–39), Selective (40–64), Favorable (65–100).IV Rank, VRP, RV Ratio, days to earnings, backwardation/contango, bid-ask spread quality
ORATS institutional options data, updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET)
The score reflects current market conditions and changes daily. A high score indicates favorable conditions for premium selling, not guaranteed profit. Always verify execution quality with your broker.
Deckers Outdoor Corp. shows moderately favorable conditions for premium selling. Yang-Zhang realized volatility reads 62.9% over 20 days versus a 47.3% 60-day baseline. The RV Ratio (HV 20d / IV 30d) is 0.71, indicating calming conditions relative to implied expectations. A Consumer Discretionary sector component tracked by VolRadar. For premium sellers tracking DECK, this ratio suggests options are likely priced for more movement than the stock is currently delivering.
VolRadar has tracked DECK for 18 trading days in this period. The RV ratio ranged between 0.70 and 0.78, with 100% of sessions showing favorable premium selling conditions.
Based on current realized volatility, traders can expect DECK to move approximately ±$4.30 (4.0%) per day and ±$9.61 (8.9%) over five trading days. At a stock price of $108.50, these ranges are derived from the Yang-Zhang volatility model which accounts for overnight gaps and intraday range — more accurate than simple close-to-close calculations. Premium sellers typically place short strikes outside these 1-standard-deviation ranges to achieve approximately 68%+ probability of profit.
Current conditions on DECK point toward range-bound strategies like iron condor. Moderately calm conditions (ratio 0.71). Range-bound behavior favors iron condors. Iron Condor benefits from time decay while defining maximum risk on both sides — a structure that suits DECK's current volatility profile where directional edge is limited but overall conditions are acceptable for premium collection.
Consumer discretionary names are tied to spending cycles and can show seasonal volatility patterns. DECK is specifically a Consumer Discretionary sector component tracked by VolRadar. Understanding sector-level volatility dynamics helps premium sellers diversify their positions across different correlation regimes.
VolRadar tracks DECK daily as part of the S&P 500 universe, providing Yang-Zhang (OHLC-based) realized volatility across 10, 20, and 60-day windows, RV ratio analysis, expected move calculations, and premium selling condition assessments. Note: RV values on this page use the Yang-Zhang estimator (captures overnight gaps); VRP and RV Ratio use ORATS close-to-close RV to match the IV data source. Data is updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET). See the disclaimer for the full risk and regulatory notice.
More about DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corp. currently shows a weak premium selling signal. Consider waiting for conditions to improve. The VRP Analysis page tracks historical premium edge trends that may signal when conditions are turning.
Deckers Outdoor Corp.'s IV Rank is 30%, indicating relatively cheap options. While premiums are thinner, low IV can present opportunities for option buyers or for sellers who focus on probability rather than absolute premium. See the IV Analysis page for detailed breakdown.
Deckers Outdoor Corp.'s 5-day expected move is ±8.9% (±$9.61 from $108.50). A wide expected range reflects elevated realized volatility. See the Expected Move page for strike placement guidance and probability analysis.
Deckers Outdoor Corp. currently shows a weak premium selling signal because multiple factors are unfavorable. Consider waiting for conditions to improve.
Deckers Outdoor Corp.'s volatility is measured using two key metrics. The RV Ratio compares realized volatility (ORATS HV 20d) to implied volatility (IV 30d). When the RV Ratio drops below 0.85, realized movement is well below what options are pricing — the sweet spot for premium sellers. VRP (Volatility Risk Premium) measures the gap between IV and HV in percentage points — positive VRP means options are overpriced relative to actual movement. Current RV Ratio: 0.71.
Deckers Outdoor Corp.'s snapshot: IV Rank 30% (average premiums), VRP +16.6pp (options overpriced), RV Ratio 0.71 (calming volatility). These three metrics work together — IV Rank shows historical context, VRP shows current overpricing, and RV Ratio shows the volatility trend. See the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and deeper breakdown.
VolRadar provides 10 analysis pages for Deckers Outdoor Corp.: Overview (this page), Premium Selling (signal and strategy verdict), VRP Analysis (volatility risk premium history), Expected Move (range and probabilities), IV Analysis (implied volatility breakdown and peer comparison), Earnings Crush (historical post-earnings IV patterns), Options Strategy Builder (18 presets + custom calculator), Covered Call Analysis (ranked by CC Score), Wheel Strategy (CSP calculator and viability), and Support & Resistance Walls (options-derived price levels).
Every options trade carries risk: undefined-risk strategies (naked puts/calls) expose you to large losses on gap moves, while defined-risk strategies cap losses but reduce premium. For Deckers Outdoor Corp., current conditions require careful selection — check the signal strength before entering positions — always size positions so no single trade risks more than 1-3% of your account. Use the Strategy Builder to model worst-case scenarios before entering.
Deckers Outdoor Corp.'s Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) is +16.6pp, meaning implied volatility exceeds realized volatility by that amount. A positive VRP indicates options are overpriced relative to actual stock movement — this is the statistical edge premium sellers seek.
Based on Yang-Zhang realized volatility, Deckers Outdoor Corp. has a 1-day expected move of ±$4.30 (±4.0%) and a 5-day expected move of ±$9.61 (±8.9%). This means the stock is expected to trade between $99 and $118 over the next week with approximately 68% probability.
Higher RV Ratio (closer to 1.0) means IV barely exceeds RV, resulting in slimmer VRP edge. Lower RV Ratio = wider gap between IV and actual movement = stronger seller edge.
View all Consumer Discretionary tickers →More analysis sections planned — Dark Pool Flow, Unusual Activity, Sector Comparison, and more.
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