›››
Loading...
Loading...
Positive VRP support selling premium; flat Term Structure.
Oneok (OKE) is a Energy stock with actively traded listed options. IV Rank 16% is 27pp below the Energy sector median of 43%. See Strategy Builder for the best fit.
OKE Edge Score: 61/100 — moderate conditions — be selective with entries.
Consider Short Put at 62d to earnings.
Build Trade →Why two RV values? Yang-Zhang RV (34.6%, OHLC-based) captures intraday volatility, while ORATS RV (30.1%, close-to-close) uses only closing prices. For OKE, YZ is higher — suggesting significant intraday movement not captured in closing prices. VRP is computed using ORATS RV to match the IV source. Gap: 4.5pp. Full IV Analysis →
Medium — Neutral, proceed with caution
EM = Price × RV₂₀d × √(t/252). Uses Yang-Zhang 20d realized volatility (not implied). ±1σ (68% confidence).
Moderate conditions — review ranked strategies for OKE.
Volatility
IV Rank, IV vs RV comparison
Volatility Risk Premium edge
Volatility smile & skew shifts
IV curve across expirations
Strategy
P&L calculator for any strategy
Ranked strategies & selling conditions
Best CC strikes, premiums & scores
CSP → assignment → CC calculator
Early assignment probability & alerts
Flow & Events
Support & resistance from OI
IV crush & historical earnings
Price range & strike placement
Historical expected move hit rates
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Edge Score = weighted composite of VRP, IV Rank, RV Regime, Earnings Proximity, Term Structure, and Liquidity. Ranges: Defensive (0–39), Selective (40–64), Favorable (65–100).IV Rank, VRP, RV Ratio, days to earnings, backwardation/contango, bid-ask spread quality
ORATS institutional options data, updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET)
The score reflects current market conditions and changes daily. A high score indicates favorable conditions for premium selling, not guaranteed profit. Always verify execution quality with your broker.
Oneok is trading in a normal volatility regime with an RV ratio of 0.90. The 20-day Yang-Zhang realized vol of 34.6% is roughly in line with the 60-day average of 28.1%, meaning the stock's recent price action matches historical expectations. For a energy stock like OKE, this is a neutral signal — premium sellers can participate but should be selective with sizing and strike selection.
Over the past 18 trading days, OKE's volatility has been rising rapidly. The RV ratio climbed from 0.95 to 0.90, indicating the stock has become progressively more active. Only 4 of 18 days (22%) were in seller-favorable territory. Premium sellers should wait for stabilization before initiating new positions.
Based on current realized volatility, traders can expect OKE to move approximately ±$1.91 (2.2%) per day and ±$4.28 (4.9%) over five trading days. At a stock price of $87.86, these ranges are derived from the Yang-Zhang volatility model which accounts for overnight gaps and intraday range — more accurate than simple close-to-close calculations. Premium sellers typically place short strikes outside these 1-standard-deviation ranges to achieve approximately 68%+ probability of profit.
Current conditions on OKE point toward range-bound strategies like iron condor (conservative). Normal volatility regime (ratio 0.90). Range-bound strategies with conservative sizing. Iron Condor (Conservative) benefits from time decay while defining maximum risk on both sides — a structure that suits OKE's current volatility profile where directional edge is limited but overall conditions are acceptable for premium collection.
Energy stocks carry commodity-linked volatility that can spike on geopolitical events and OPEC decisions. OKE specifically an Energy sector component tracked by VolRadar. Understanding sector-level volatility dynamics helps premium sellers diversify their positions across different correlation regimes.
VolRadar tracks OKE daily as part of the S&P 500 universe, providing Yang-Zhang (OHLC-based) realized volatility across 10, 20, and 60-day windows, RV ratio analysis, expected move calculations, and premium selling condition assessments. Note: RV values on this page use the Yang-Zhang estimator (captures overnight gaps); VRP and RV Ratio use ORATS close-to-close RV to match the IV data source. Data is updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET). All analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss.
More about OKE
Oneok shows moderate conditions for options strategies (RV Ratio 0.90). Defined-risk strategies may be appropriate. See the Premium Selling page for the full signal breakdown or use the Strategy Builder to model different approaches.
Oneok's IV Rank is 16%, indicating relatively cheap options. While premiums are thinner, low IV can present opportunities for option buyers or for sellers who focus on probability rather than absolute premium. See the IV Analysis page for detailed breakdown.
VolRadar tracks Oneok across 10 analysis dimensions updated daily after market close. The premium selling signal combines VRP edge, volatility regime, IV Rank, earnings proximity, and market-wide conditions into a single actionable verdict. Each sub-page goes deeper: VRP Analysis for the implied-vs-realized spread, IV Analysis for peer comparisons, Expected Move for strike placement, Earnings Crush for event history, and the Strategy Builder for modeling specific trades.
Oneok shows a medium signal. The RV Ratio is 0.90, indicating moderate conditions. Premium selling strategies with defined risk are appropriate.
Oneok's volatility is measured using two key metrics. The RV Ratio compares realized volatility (ORATS HV 20d) to implied volatility (IV 30d). When the RV Ratio drops below 0.85, realized movement is well below what options are pricing — the sweet spot for premium sellers. VRP (Volatility Risk Premium) measures the gap between IV and HV in percentage points — positive VRP means options are overpriced relative to actual movement. Current RV Ratio: 0.90.
Oneok's snapshot: IV Rank 16% (low premiums), VRP +3.3pp (options overpriced), RV Ratio 0.90 (normal volatility). These three metrics work together — IV Rank shows historical context, VRP shows current overpricing, and RV Ratio shows the volatility trend. See the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and deeper breakdown.
VolRadar provides 10 analysis pages for Oneok: Overview (this page), Premium Selling (signal and strategy verdict), VRP Analysis (volatility risk premium history), Expected Move (range and probabilities), IV Analysis (implied volatility breakdown and peer comparison), Earnings Crush (historical post-earnings IV patterns), Options Strategy Builder (18 presets + custom calculator), Covered Call Analysis (ranked by CC Score), Wheel Strategy (CSP calculator and viability), and Support & Resistance Walls (options-derived price levels).
Key risks for Oneok right now: low IV Rank (16%) means thin premiums that may not compensate for the risk taken. These risks are worse when combined — for example, selling into earnings with negative VRP removes both your statistical edge and your safety margin. Use VolRadar's sub-pages to contextualize: VRP Analysis for edge confirmation, IV Analysis for premium adequacy, and Expected Move for strike distance guidance.
Based on Yang-Zhang realized volatility, Oneok has a 1-day expected move of ±$1.91 (±2.2%) and a 5-day expected move of ±$4.28 (±4.9%). This means the stock is expected to trade between $84 and $92 over the next week with approximately 68% probability.
Higher RV Ratio (closer to 1.0) means IV barely exceeds RV, resulting in slimmer VRP edge. Lower RV Ratio = wider gap between IV and actual movement = stronger seller edge.
View all Energy tickers →More analysis sections planned — Dark Pool Flow, Unusual Activity, Sector Comparison, and more.