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Current QCOM options analysis: Strong Signal for Selling premium on QCOM. This QCOM options page updates daily with IV rank, VRP, expected move, and strategy picks.
Positive VRP and elevated IVR support selling premium; backwardation suggests shorter DTE and defined risk.
Qualcomm (QCOM) operates in the Information Technology sector and has actively traded listed options. QCOM scores 75/100 for premium selling conditions. QCOM premium selling setup.
QCOM Edge Score: 75/100 — one of today's strongest setups for premium selling.
Consider Put Credit Spread (defined risk) at ~45 DTE.
QCOM Build Trade →Strong — Favorable for premium selling
EM = Price × RV₂₀d × √(t/252). Uses Yang-Zhang 20d realized volatility (not implied). ±1σ (68% confidence).
Strong setup detected. Review the Put Credit Spread and build your trade.
Strategy
Flow & Events
Planned
IV curve across expirations
Historical expected move hit rates
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Edge Score = weighted composite of VRP, IV Rank, RV Regime, Earnings Proximity, Term Structure, and Liquidity. Ranges: Defensive (0–39), Selective (40–64), Favorable (65–100).IV Rank, VRP, RV Ratio, days to earnings, backwardation/contango, bid-ask spread quality
ORATS institutional options data, updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET)
The score reflects current market conditions and changes daily. A high score indicates favorable conditions for premium selling, not guaranteed profit. Always verify execution quality with your broker.
Qualcomm is trading in a normal volatility regime with an RV ratio of 0.94. The 20-day Yang-Zhang realized vol of 51.4% is roughly in line with the 60-day average of 37.4%, meaning the stock's recent price action matches historical expectations. For a information technology stock like QCOM, this is a neutral signal — premium sellers can participate but should be selective with sizing and strike selection.
Over the past 22 trading days, QCOM's volatility has been dropping sharply. The RV ratio moved from a high of 1.75 down to the current 0.94 — a significant compression that often precedes favorable premium selling windows. During this period, 16 out of 22 days (73%) showed conditions favorable for sellers (ratio below 1.0). This kind of rapid vol compression in a information technology name like QCOM typically means options haven't fully repriced lower yet — creating a temporary edge.
Based on current realized volatility, traders can expect QCOM to move approximately ±$6.60 (3.2%) per day and ±$14.76 (7.2%) over five trading days. At a stock price of $203.79, these ranges are derived from the Yang-Zhang volatility model which accounts for overnight gaps and intraday range — more accurate than simple close-to-close calculations. Premium sellers typically place short strikes outside these 1-standard-deviation ranges to achieve approximately 68%+ probability of profit.
Current conditions on QCOM point toward range-bound strategies like iron condor (conservative). Normal volatility regime (ratio 0.94). Range-bound strategies with conservative sizing. Iron Condor (Conservative) benefits from time decay while defining maximum risk on both sides — a structure that suits QCOM's current volatility profile where directional edge is limited but overall conditions are acceptable for premium collection.
VolRadar tracks QCOM daily as part of the S&P 500 universe, providing Yang-Zhang (OHLC-based) realized volatility across 10, 20, and 60-day windows, RV ratio analysis, expected move calculations, and premium selling condition assessments. Note: RV values on this page use the Yang-Zhang estimator (captures overnight gaps); VRP and RV Ratio use ORATS close-to-close RV to match the IV data source. Data is updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET). See the disclaimer for the full risk and regulatory notice.
More about QCOM
Qualcomm currently shows strong premium selling conditions with an RV Ratio of 0.94. Realized volatility is below implied volatility, suggesting options may be overpriced relative to actual movement. Explore the Premium Selling page for detailed strategy recommendations and the Strategy Builder to model specific trades.
Qualcomm's IV Rank is 95%, meaning current IV exceeds most of its 12-month range. Elevated IV creates richer premiums for sellers and may indicate upcoming events or heightened uncertainty. Explore the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and historical context.
Qualcomm's 5-day expected move is ±7.2% (±$14.76 from $203.79). A wide expected range reflects elevated realized volatility. See the Expected Move page for strike placement guidance and probability analysis.
Qualcomm currently shows a strong premium selling signal with an RV Ratio of 0.94. Realized volatility is below implied volatility, suggesting options may be overpriced relative to actual price movement.
Qualcomm's volatility is measured using two key metrics. The RV Ratio compares realized volatility (ORATS HV 20d) to implied volatility (IV 30d). When the RV Ratio drops below 0.85, realized movement is well below what options are pricing — the sweet spot for premium sellers. VRP (Volatility Risk Premium) measures the gap between IV and HV in percentage points — positive VRP means options are overpriced relative to actual movement. Current RV Ratio: 0.94.
Qualcomm's snapshot: IV Rank 95% (elevated premiums), VRP +3.7pp (options overpriced), RV Ratio 0.94 (normal volatility). These three metrics work together — IV Rank shows historical context, VRP shows current overpricing, and RV Ratio shows the volatility trend. See the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and deeper breakdown.
VolRadar provides 10 analysis pages for Qualcomm: Overview (this page), Premium Selling (signal and strategy verdict), VRP Analysis (volatility risk premium history), Expected Move (range and probabilities), IV Analysis (implied volatility breakdown and peer comparison), Earnings Crush (historical post-earnings IV patterns), Options Strategy Builder (18 presets + custom calculator), Covered Call Analysis (ranked by CC Score), Wheel Strategy (CSP calculator and viability), and Support & Resistance Walls (options-derived price levels).
Every options trade carries risk: undefined-risk strategies (naked puts/calls) expose you to large losses on gap moves, while defined-risk strategies cap losses but reduce premium. For Qualcomm, current conditions favor premium sellers, but all options trades carry significant risk — always size positions so no single trade risks more than 1-3% of your account. Use the Strategy Builder to model worst-case scenarios before entering.
An IV Rank of 95% means Qualcomm's current implied volatility is higher than most readings over the past year. Elevated IV can indicate the market expects larger moves ahead, creating higher premiums for sellers but also higher risk if the move materializes.
Based on Yang-Zhang realized volatility, Qualcomm has a 1-day expected move of ±$6.60 (±3.2%) and a 5-day expected move of ±$14.76 (±7.2%). This means the stock is expected to trade between $189 and $219 over the next week with approximately 68% probability.
More analysis sections planned — Dark Pool Flow, Unusual Activity, Sector Comparison, and more.
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Spread +3.0pp — IV is pricing above realized movement. This is the spread theta sellers collect as IV mean-reverts toward RV.