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Seagate Technology — Your statistical edge in selling STX options, quantified
Seagate Technology (STX) operates in the Information Technology sector and has actively traded listed options. STX options are overpriced — IV 30d at 81.8% vs 76.1% realized vol (+5.7pp spread). VRP sits at the 77th percentile, trending higher. A wide premium gap like this favors short-volatility positioning. See Premium Selling for the full setup.
VRP in Context
Volatility risk premium = implied vol minus realized volatility. Positive VRP = options are overpriced.
Options are priced above recent realized movement, which can give premium sellers a statistical edge. A positive VRP means you're selling options for more than they're statistically worth.
Look at the VRP trend and percentile to decide if the edge is strong enough to trade.
VRP = IV 30d − RV 20d (annualized, in percentage points)ORATS 30-day implied volatility, ORATS close-to-close 20-day realized volatility
ORATS IV data + ORATS close-to-close HV 20d
VRP is backward-looking for RV and forward-looking for IV. A positive VRP does not guarantee profitable premium selling — it measures the current pricing gap, not future outcomes.
90-day VRP history chart, percentile vs 252-day range, and VRP-optimized strategy matching — in active development.
This data is free for all users. No paywall — just not built yet.
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Seagate Technology's Volatility Risk Premium stands at +5.7pp, placing it among the strongest selling opportunities in the current market. Implied volatility of 81.8% is significantly overpricing Seagate Technology's actual realized movement of 76.1%. This gap — the VRP — represents the statistical edge that disciplined premium sellers capture over time. The wider this gap, the more the options market is overpaying for protection, and the larger the expected return for those willing to be the insurance provider.
Seagate Technology's VRP of +5.7pp measures the difference between what the options market expects (81.8% implied) and what is actually occurring (76.1% realized). Premium sellers profit when this gap is positive — they collect more in premium than the stock's movement costs them. VRP varies over time and across stocks, which is why monitoring it daily helps traders identify when conditions shift in or out of their favor.
Seagate Technology's VRP trend over the past 5-10 trading days shows expansion — the gap between implied and realized volatility is widening. This expansion suggests the options market is repricing risk higher while realized movement hasn't yet followed — a window of opportunity for sellers. Rising VRP is the most favorable trend for premium sellers because it means the edge is growing, not shrinking. Historically, VRP expansion periods tend to last 2-4 weeks before mean-reverting, so timing entries during an uptrend captures some of the best risk-adjusted returns.
Seagate Technology's VRP is currently +5.7pp, derived from the difference between implied volatility (81.8%) and realized volatility (76.1%). A positive VRP of this magnitude means options are meaningfully overpriced relative to actual stock movement — this is the core edge that premium sellers harvest.
Yes — Seagate Technology's VRP of +5.7pp is in the favorable zone. The options market is significantly overestimating future volatility, creating a statistical edge for sellers. The rising trend makes this even more attractive.
Seagate Technology's VRP has been expanding over recent sessions, meaning the gap between implied and realized volatility is growing. For premium sellers, this is the most favorable trend — the edge is increasing, not depleting. Rising VRP often coincides with the market maintaining elevated IV expectations while the stock settles into calmer actual movement. This window typically lasts 2-4 weeks before mean-reverting, so the current conditions may have some persistence.
IV Rank tells you if Seagate Technology's options are expensive compared to their own history — currently 89.2%. VRP tells you if they're expensive compared to what the stock ACTUALLY does — currently +5.7pp. Both are favorable for Seagate Technology right now, which is the strongest combination.