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VolRadar keeps refreshing PAYC as long as it trades on a US exchange, so the data on this page stays current. S&P-wide signals (Weather Score, sector medians, "Strong signals" count) exclude PAYC until it rejoins the index.
Current PAYC options analysis: Medium Signal for Selling premium on PAYC. This PAYC options page updates daily with IV rank, VRP, expected move, and strategy picks.
Elevated IVR support selling premium; flat Term Structure.
Paycom Software Inc. (PAYC) is a Industrials stock with actively traded listed options. IV Rank 92% is 33pp above the Industrials sector median of 59%. Build PAYC strategy.
PAYC Edge Score: 71/100 — one of today's strongest setups for premium selling.
Consider Iron Condor (defined risk) at ~45 DTE.
PAYC Build Trade →Moderate conditions — review ranked strategies for PAYC.
Quantitative screening, not investment advice. Verify with your broker. Disclaimer
Edge Score = weighted composite of VRP, IV Rank, RV Regime, Earnings Proximity, Term Structure, and Liquidity. Ranges: Defensive (0–39), Selective (40–64), Favorable (65–100).IV Rank, VRP, RV Ratio, days to earnings, backwardation/contango, bid-ask spread quality
ORATS institutional options data, updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET)
The score reflects current market conditions and changes daily. A high score indicates favorable conditions for premium selling, not guaranteed profit. Always verify execution quality with your broker.
Paycom Software Inc. is trading in a normal volatility regime with an RV ratio of 0.96. The 20-day Yang-Zhang realized vol of 64.6% is roughly in line with the 60-day average of 43.7%, meaning the stock's recent price action matches historical expectations. For a industrials stock like PAYC, this is a neutral signal — premium sellers can participate but should be selective with sizing and strike selection.
Looking at the past 18 trading days, PAYC's RV ratio has been trending lower. The ratio ranged from 1.85 to 1.75, with the current reading of 0.96 near the lower end. 0 of 18 days showed seller-favorable conditions. A gradual decline is often more sustainable than a sharp drop, suggesting PAYC may remain in this lower-vol regime for a while.
Based on current realized volatility, traders can expect PAYC to move approximately ±$5.61 (4.1%) per day and ±$12.55 (9.1%) over five trading days. At a stock price of $137.88, these ranges are derived from the Yang-Zhang volatility model which accounts for overnight gaps and intraday range — more accurate than simple close-to-close calculations. Premium sellers typically place short strikes outside these 1-standard-deviation ranges to achieve approximately 68%+ probability of profit.
Current conditions on PAYC point toward range-bound strategies like iron condor (conservative). Normal volatility regime (ratio 0.96). Range-bound strategies with conservative sizing. Iron Condor (Conservative) benefits from time decay while defining maximum risk on both sides — a structure that suits PAYC's current volatility profile where directional edge is limited but overall conditions are acceptable for premium collection.
Industrial stocks reflect economic cycle expectations, with volatility rising during recession fears. PAYC is specifically an Industrials sector component tracked by VolRadar. Understanding sector-level volatility dynamics helps premium sellers diversify their positions across different correlation regimes.
VolRadar tracks PAYC daily as part of the S&P 500 universe, providing Yang-Zhang (OHLC-based) realized volatility across 10, 20, and 60-day windows, RV ratio analysis, expected move calculations, and premium selling condition assessments. Note: RV values on this page use the Yang-Zhang estimator (captures overnight gaps); VRP and RV Ratio use ORATS close-to-close RV to match the IV data source. Data is updated daily after market close (~6:00 PM ET). See the disclaimer for the full risk and regulatory notice.
More about PAYC
Paycom Software Inc. shows moderate conditions for options strategies (RV Ratio 0.96). Defined-risk strategies may be appropriate. See the Premium Selling page for the full signal breakdown or use the Strategy Builder to model different approaches.
Paycom Software Inc.'s IV Rank is 92%, meaning current IV exceeds most of its 12-month range. Elevated IV creates richer premiums for sellers and may indicate upcoming events or heightened uncertainty. Explore the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and historical context.
Paycom Software Inc.'s 5-day expected move is ±9.1% (±$12.55 from $137.88). A wide expected range reflects elevated realized volatility. See the Expected Move page for strike placement guidance and probability analysis.
Paycom Software Inc. shows a medium signal. The RV Ratio is 0.96, indicating moderate conditions. Premium selling strategies with defined risk are appropriate.
More analysis sections planned — Dark Pool Flow, Unusual Activity, Sector Comparison, and more.
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EOD-computed Edge Score, VRP, earnings gates. Built by a premium seller, for premium sellers.
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Spread +2.0pp — IV is pricing above realized movement. This is the spread theta sellers collect as IV mean-reverts toward RV.
Medium — Neutral, proceed with caution
EM = Price × RV₂₀d × √(t/252). Uses Yang-Zhang 20d realized volatility (not implied). ±1σ (68% confidence).
Planned
IV curve across expirations
Historical expected move hit rates
Paycom Software Inc.'s volatility is measured using two key metrics. The RV Ratio compares realized volatility (ORATS HV 20d) to implied volatility (IV 30d). When the RV Ratio drops below 0.85, realized movement is well below what options are pricing — the sweet spot for premium sellers. VRP (Volatility Risk Premium) measures the gap between IV and HV in percentage points — positive VRP means options are overpriced relative to actual movement. Current RV Ratio: 0.96.
Paycom Software Inc.'s snapshot: IV Rank 92% (elevated premiums), VRP +1.9pp (slight edge), RV Ratio 0.96 (normal volatility). These three metrics work together — IV Rank shows historical context, VRP shows current overpricing, and RV Ratio shows the volatility trend. See the IV Analysis page for peer comparisons and deeper breakdown.
VolRadar provides 10 analysis pages for Paycom Software Inc.: Overview (this page), Premium Selling (signal and strategy verdict), VRP Analysis (volatility risk premium history), Expected Move (range and probabilities), IV Analysis (implied volatility breakdown and peer comparison), Earnings Crush (historical post-earnings IV patterns), Options Strategy Builder (18 presets + custom calculator), Covered Call Analysis (ranked by CC Score), Wheel Strategy (CSP calculator and viability), and Support & Resistance Walls (options-derived price levels).
Every options trade carries risk: undefined-risk strategies (naked puts/calls) expose you to large losses on gap moves, while defined-risk strategies cap losses but reduce premium. For Paycom Software Inc., current conditions require careful selection — check the signal strength before entering positions — always size positions so no single trade risks more than 1-3% of your account. Use the Strategy Builder to model worst-case scenarios before entering.
An IV Rank of 92% means Paycom Software Inc.'s current implied volatility is higher than most readings over the past year. Elevated IV can indicate the market expects larger moves ahead, creating higher premiums for sellers but also higher risk if the move materializes.
Based on Yang-Zhang realized volatility, Paycom Software Inc. has a 1-day expected move of ±$5.61 (±4.1%) and a 5-day expected move of ±$12.55 (±9.1%). This means the stock is expected to trade between $125 and $150 over the next week with approximately 68% probability.
Higher RV Ratio (closer to 1.0) means IV barely exceeds RV, resulting in slimmer VRP edge. Lower RV Ratio = wider gap between IV and actual movement = stronger seller edge.
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